What does Biden mean for Russia?

What does Biden mean for Russia?

Former US Vice President and incumbent Democratic candidate, Joe Biden delivers a statement on the results of talks with his Ukrainian president in Kiev on December 7, 2015.

Sergey Supinsky | Agence France-Presse | Getty Images

Despite some draconian sanctions and even tougher criticism, Russia has not been the top American foreign policy priority under President Donald Trump, who appeared to have a good relationship with his counterpart Vladimir Putin.

However, all this could change if Democratic candidate Joe Biden wins the November 3 elections, according to experts, who are studying the implications of the Biden presidency for US-Russian relations.

At the very least, analysts expect Biden’s victory to increase tensions between Washington and Moscow, and increase the likelihood of new sanctions against Russia.

The country is already operating under international sanctions on some key sectors and Russian officials close to Putin, due to measures that include annexing Crimea from Ukraine in 2014, meddling in the US elections in 2016, and reporting its involvement in a nerve gas attack in the United Kingdom in 2018.

Mutual distrust

Mutual interest

A new beginning

Armament control It is a region that all Russia watchers believe could be a point of mutual interest and some harmony. Biden has made the point, saying in 2019 that he wants to see an extension of the major nuclear arms reduction treaty between the United States and Russia, known as the New Treaty on Strategic Arms Reduction, or something similar.

“Based on recent statements from both sides, negotiations on a new strategic arms reduction treaty (START) is one of the areas in which progress can be expected if Biden is elected,” Tursa said. “However, the schedule will be very difficult as the current treaty expires on February 5, 2021.”

Russia itself has recognized that arms control could be a positive dynamic under the Biden presidency. Earlier in October, Putin criticized what he called “tough anti-Russian rhetoric” from Biden, but also said that Biden’s comments on a new arms treaty or extension of the New START treaty encouraged him.

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